Japanese Yen Gains Amidst Consolidation, Low Holiday Trading Volumes Present Breakout RiskWhile
the inverse correlation between the US dollar and stocks didn’t hold up
today, the Japanese yen did manage to hold up on Tuesday, gaining
roughly 1.5 percent versus the euro and over 2 percent against the US
dollar.
However, the moves reflected more of a consolidation of
Monday’s plunge rather than a clear turn as the Japanese yen remains
within its latest trading ranges. While volatility is down from its
October records, it is still historically high and suggests potential
for breakouts. The big risks for the Japanese yen crosses and other
carry trades this week are associated with the closure of US markets on
Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday. We tend to see lower trading
volumes around this time, which leaves price action likely to either
quiet down substantially or become very choppy.
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