ForexGen Strategies

Euro Soars Against US Dollar

Euro Soars Against US Dollar - Is This a Trend Change or Retracement?

The Euro has registered some very impressive gains against the US dollar this week, adding nearly 5% in just the past two days. The pair is now re-testing the multi-year bullish trend line that had guided price action since 2002 and was broken to the downside at the beginning of October. This is the proverbial line in the sand: if the Euro manages to surpass this juncture, the bearish bias will be violated. However, the possibility remains that current EURUSD strength is corrective and the downtrend will resume following the re-test of support-turned-resistance.

EURUSD Spot (Weekly):



















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ForexGen | Japanese Yen Gains Amidst Consolidation


Japanese Yen Gains Amidst Consolidation, Low Holiday Trading Volumes Present Breakout Risk

While the inverse correlation between the US dollar and stocks didn’t hold up today, the Japanese yen did manage to hold up on Tuesday, gaining roughly 1.5 percent versus the euro and over 2 percent against the US dollar.

However, the moves reflected more of a consolidation of Monday’s plunge rather than a clear turn as the Japanese yen remains within its latest trading ranges. While volatility is down from its October records, it is still historically high and suggests potential for breakouts. The big risks for the Japanese yen crosses and other carry trades this week are associated with the closure of US markets on Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday. We tend to see lower trading volumes around this time, which leaves price action likely to either quiet down substantially or become very choppy.

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