Forex Official Blog

EUR/USD:

Growth prospects for the Euro-Zone is expected to weaken further as market participants forecast the unemployment rate to increase to 7.6% from 7.5% in September. Economic activity has weakened considerably throughout the second half of the year as the economy slipped into a recession in the third quarter.

What’s Expected
Time of release: 11/28/2008 10:00 GMT, 05:00 EST

Primary Pair Impact : EURUSD

Expected: 7.6%

Previous: 7.5%

Effect the Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate had over EURUSD for the past 3 months

September 2008 Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate

The jobless rate in the Euro-Zone held steady at 7.5% for the second straight month as widely expected, but may push higher over the following months as growth prospects deteriorate throughout the second half of the year. Economic activity contracted 0.2% in the second quarter as firms reduced spending, and may slip into a technical recession in the third quarter as market participants expect growth to contract for the second consecutive quarter. Fading demands from the global economy paired with the downturn in the financial market has certainly stoked fears for a worldwide recession, and business may cutback costs even further as credit conditions remain far from normal. The spillover effects of the credit crunch has certainly taken a toll on the real economy, and economic activity may remain subdued well into the next year as the major economies throughout Europe teeter on the brink of a recession.

August 2008 Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate

The Euro-Zone unemployment rate increased to 7.5% from a revised reading of 7.4% in July as the economy teeters on the brink of a recession. Employment opportunities have weakened considerably throughout the second half of the year as demands from home and abroad falter, and conditions may only get worse as economic activity weakens throughout Europe. Deteriorating fundamentals paired with the drastic slowdown in the global economy sparked fears that the euro-region could face a severe economic downturn as the spillover effects of the credit crunch continues to take a toll on the real economy. Despite the severity of the financial crisis, the European Central Bank is widely expected to hold the benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25% at tomorrow’s policy meeting, but may switch gears in the months ahead as falling oil prices curb the upside risks for inflation.

July 2008 Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate in the Euro-Zone held steady at 7.3% for the third consecutive month, which was inline with expectations. However, fading confidence among businesses paired with slowing demands from the global economy could raise the jobless rate over the coming months as the growth outlook turns dim. Business sentiment slipped to -0.33 from a revised reading of -0.20 in July as demands from home and abroad weakened throughout the second half of the year. Retail spending fell 0.6% in June, followed by a 0.3% decline in industrial new orders, and economic activity may weaken further as trade deficit widened to 3.0B from 1.0B in August. Despite the downturn in the economy, the European Central Bank continued to hold a neutral policy stance as they held the benchmark interest rate steady at a seven year high of 4.25% as policymakers carry out their one and only mandate to ensure price stability.

How To Trade This Event Risk

Growth prospects for the Euro-Zone is expected to weaken further as market participants forecast the unemployment rate to increase to 7.6% from 7.5% in September. Economic activity has weakened considerably throughout the second half of the year as the economy slipped into a recession in the third quarter, and firms may continue to cut payrolls as demands from home and abroad deteriorate. Manufacturing activity contracted for the sixth consecutive month in November to record its biggest monthly decline in nearly a decade as the PMI reading slipped to 36.2 from 41.1 in October. In addition, service-based activity in the Euro-Zone weakened as well, which led the composite PMI to reach a record low reading of 39.7 from 43.6 in the previous month. Moreover, industrial new orders plunged 3.9% in September, followed by a 1.5% decline in the prior month, while retail spending slipped 0.2% during the same period. The data suggests that employment opportunities will become increasingly scarce as economic activity falters, and the economy may face its worse recession in 15 years as firms continue to hold a dour outlook for growth. Business confidence plunged in November to reach its lowest level since 1993 as the index slipped to -2.14 from -1.34, while the economic outlook slipped to a 15 year low of 74.9 from 80.0 in October. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank is widely expected to lower the benchmark interest next week by 25bp to 3.00% from 3.25% as price pressures alleviate, but could be forced to ease policy further as economic activity deteriorates at a record pace. The interest rate outlook for the ECB could stoke increased selling pressures for the euro over the near-term as market participants expect policymakers to hold a dovish outlook well into the next year, but volatility may spike throughout the financial markets as traders in the U.S. are offline to celebrate Thanksgiving.

Trading the given event risk may not be as clear cut as some of our other trades as we expect trading volume in the currency market to fall as the U.S. observes a national holiday. Nevertheless, we would need a considerable improvement in the jobless rate to yield a bullish euro position for the scheduled event, and reading of 7.3% or lower would certainly set the stage for a long EURUSD trade. With an improved reading, we will look for a green, five-minute candle following the improved release to confirm an entry on two lots of the euro-dollar. We will place our initial stop at the nearby swing low (or reasonable distance), and this risk will determine the target for the first lot. Our second target will be based purely on discretion, and to preserve our profits, we will move the stop on the second lot to breakeven once the first trade reaches its target.

ForexGen Expert Advisors

Expert Advisors are used to automate the trading process and relieve traders from constantly performing the day to day trading activities. Many experienced traders apply multiple automated trading strategies and make them operate in different market situations and with a variety of conditions.

ForexGen traders will have the opportunity to write and test their trading strategies in the well-known, easy to use, popular and used strong analytical development package, which is MetaQuotes Language 4 (MQL 4) developed by http://www.metaquotes.net/.

With ForexGen client expert advisor tool there will always be a way, by which experienced traders can link the signals generated by the trading systems with their trading accounts, and link them in such a way to be able to track and manage their opened positions, placed orders and stops at any given moment.

What is an Expert Advisor?

It is a mechanical trading system (MTS) written in specialized language which is MetaQuotes Language 4 (MQL 4) and linked to a trading chart. An Expert Advisor has the capability to notify traders of the trading, chances and also to automatically execute positions in their trading account, sending them directly to the trading server. Like all experts systems, Expert Advisors supports the testing of strategies with historical data, with the trade entry/exit points being represented on the charts. Furthermore, the executable code of the Expert Advisor is stored separately from its source text

Starring in writing your custom Expert Advisor has never been easier. To be able do so, traders only need to learn how to use a very simple language - the MQL 4.

There is a great variety of trading strategies developed by a lot of traders using MQL4 language and ForexGen traders can depend on it as a good start to get familiar with MQL4 language and allow traders to incorporate the previously accumulated experience.

Throughout our partnership with the industrial leaders, we are capable of delivering incomparable quality of online currency trading service.
ForexGen services are all controlled by the international banking and financial regulatory standards.
ForexGen is continuously providing the Forex market's safest trading terms & conditions. Providing professional currency trading services that meet our client's expectations is our first priority.

You can do just about anything online these days as you may already know. You can can do your shopping, banking, and even dating online if you so choose to do. Trading stocks online has really exploded in recent years. Investors love having the freedom to check on their stocks anytime they choose. Its more flexible than trying to use a broker in person or over the phone, though they still have their place in the investing world.

In fact, what youll find is that almost all brokers these days will have online trading options for their clients as well. Prices for online trading are typically lower as there is fierce competition among internet trading companies to grab the masses.There are certainly some benefits to online trading but there is a downside as well. Penny stocks are great for online trading.

One of the drawbacks is the learning curve if you are a new investor. The advantage of talking directly to a broker is he or she can explain things very quickly and share valuable wisdom and experience. Jumping into the stock market ocean can be very risky if you dont have an experienced life guard nearby. Your best defense in this situation is becoming as educated as possible before investing any large sums of money. Also, use practice trading accounts until you feel comfortable.

A broker usually has live feeds and constant internet connectivity to stay on top of the market constantly. You may not have this kind of connectivity all day every day, which is very necessary for some types of investments. You need to be ready to make a trade on a moments notice sometimes. You need to be sure that you can call and speak with a broker if this is the case, using the online broker. This is true whether you are an advanced trader or a beginner.

It would probably be wise to choose an online broker thats been around for awhile and would be able to offer sound advice in the event that you did need to talk to a real person.

Dont mean to scare you here. Of course online trading can be a wonderful tool if you know what youre doing. It also depends on the level of risk of the investment. In some cases you may be watching stocks day to day and would find online trading accounts very useful. Perhaps for a long term retirement investment that is pretty safe you wouldnt need to check up on it that much. Learn and practice as much as possible before starting online trading.

If you are serious about pursuing investments in the realm of the foreign exchange market, then you want to learn as many tricks of the trade as possible. Fortunately, uncovering Forex trading secrets is not as difficult as you may think. Here are some suggestions for resources that will help you learn some helpful tips and tricks in very little time.

One of the key things about building your arsenal of Forex trading tools is to understand that some of them will be online resources while others will involve more conventional avenues. Don”t tend to think that one is a good substitute for the other. Plan on developing a working list of diverse resources to help you in learning how to trade Forex.

A good place to begin learning a few tips and secrets is by purchasing a few books on the subject of foreign exchange. Forex trading books are loaded with background and ideas that may be just what you need in order to get very enthusiastic about the whole idea of trading. Books also have the advantage of being accessible even if an electronic device is unavailable.

Along with printed matter, don”t forget to ask your dealer about some basic Forex trading secrets. Often, this will yield at least some good ideas to keep in the back of your mind when deciding whether to initiate a given deal or not. Remember that a broker dealer has a wealth of experience to call upon, and there is no reason why you should not pick up on some of that experience. Most dealers are happy to share a few tips with a new investor, since it helps to build rapport and increase the chances of doing business together.

Networking with other Forex investors is also a good way to learn about resources and pick up some tips that could allow you to make quite a profit. You can find other investors at business-related events in the community, as well as participating in online forums that cater to Forex trading tips and strategies. As you come across some good ideas from one source, don”t forget to share them with others on the forums. This will help you cultivate the reputation of being up front, which in turn will make it easier for others to respond with helpful suggestions when you ask a question.

Searching the Internet for helpful articles about Forex trading may also provide some useful ideas as well. There are a number of web sites today that are devoted to the subject of Forex trading, so finding plenty of content on the web will not be difficult at all. Look for sources that offer links to other resources, or include a bibliography at the end of the article. These tools will help you continue to find more resources that will yield even more useful trading secrets.

ForexGen.com is an online trading service provider supplying a unique and individualized service to Forex traders worldwide. We are dedicated to absolutely provide the best online trading services in the Forex market.

There is no doubt that penny stocks are a risky and thinly traded breed of stocks issued by relatively tiny companies. Also, the SEC does not require penny stocks to follow their reporting rules. This combined with unclear or unverifiable financials can make this stock seem like something to avoid altogether. Penny stocks can be dangerous for investors of all experience levels but especially for amateurs just getting their feet wet. Here are five tips to help find the best penny stock picks.

1. Profit

First off is the company you are interested in investing in experiencing any sizeable profits. Better yet is their profit to debt ration favorable. Youd be hard pressed to find one of these little companies without debt but that doesnt mean you cant be picky. In this case the least amount of debt with the most profit will be a better investment. Another thing to watch is how progressive the debt payoffs have been. This would be a sign of good or bad financial management.

2. Industry Trends

This is one of those methods that almost all people use anyway. If there is a high demand for oil then people instinctively want to go buy oil stocks. The only problem with this kind of trend analysis is it really isnt forward looking analysis. This is just waiting and seeing which doesnt get you in on the ground floor of and investment before the public takes notice. Investing ahead of an industry trend is far better. So look for stocks in industries that are the edge of more demand.

3. Personal Interest

Theres a saying that you do well at things you enjoy to do. This makes logical sense and it works with stocks as well. If you invest in something that actually interests you then you will naturally be more studious and make more of an effort to choose the best stocks. It can be very boring researching stocks that dont interest you and you are likely not to be as thorough as you should be.

4. Tenure

How long has the company been in business? This is not to say that investing in newer companies is a bad idea but its more likely to be safer investing in a more established company with some kind of track record.

5. Bad Behavior

Last tip is an obvious one. Stay away from companies whose operations or transactions have been questionable. Even if the bad press is not completely true it will be difficult for a company to recover in the short and maybe even long term.

 

Forex is nothing but the foreign exchange market where money itself is being bought and sold. Learning Forex trading means understanding what forex is and how to make use of the forex market to earn good profits by investing proper amounts. In order to learn forex the following are the things that are to be understood:

First off, in the Forex market there are three levels. We have the brokerage accountants, the real accountants and the students. The brokerage accountants are the brokers who let the buyers and the sellers to trade there currencies. They mediate between two firms or individuals. They are the Market Makers who will set the currency values and will help the traders to trade. The real accountants are the clients who are investing in the market in order to try to get some profits from the same. The students are beginners who are trying to understand the market with the help of training courses, simulators and the like.

Forex Market should not be confused with the stock market. Stock market is one where users deal with stocks and try to make profits with the increase in the stock values, forex deals with making profits with the increase in the currencies. It is more of an objective market. In the forex market if the participants want to change or manipulate the values of the currencies for certain purposes, they can do so by operating with billions of dollars or any other currency. Since it operates on such high values the manipulation of a single participant in the market is not a possibility. But the liquidity of this market allows both sides of traders to open and close the situations. The time that a trader will occupy a position is highly arbitrary and is dependent upon the strategies that he follows through out the trading.
It is also important to note the fluctuations in the currency values.

Another important term which we”ll come across when we are learning about forex trading is Margin Trading. Margin Trading is where traders trade with borrowed amounts. It allows traders to start trading with lesser capitals than what is normally allowed. It reduces the overhead expenses of having to transfer money and enables the traders to open there positions with lesser amounts of U.S dollars thus buying and selling other currencies. In forex it is not necessary to actually buy some currencies to sell it later. It is enough for the traders to actually open the positions for buying and selling without having any. But even to open positions it is necessary to invest a certain amount in dollars. The major currencies that are traded in the forex are euro, yen, pound, franc all of which are traded against dollars.

These are the basics that need to be understood to learn forex.